Thursday, May 05, 2011

When Bonds Turn Up Stocks Retreat

Bonds have been in an uptrend for a long time , as the chart shows, it has been in that uptrend for almost 25 years. whenever the bond price bounces from the lower trendline, stocks go into a weak phase and vice-versa. I think stocks are going to be weak for the next couple of months. My guess is that S&P500 will remain weak and go into a downtrend phase, but later it will mount another rally to the 1500's during the election year(2012).

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