Tuesday, December 20, 2005

Russell 2000 is still in consolidation

Russell 2000 closed just right above the support today after going below it during the morning hours. We are still in bull bear fight , bears have been the gaining upper hand during the past days(or last 3 weeks) during which the market went no where and then suddenly in the last days it went down as if the pillar holding it got struck down. We need this type of shock and fear (or awe) in order to scare the optimists and the fearless and recently converted bulls.
I still expect the market to clear this range and go upwards,but if Russell2000 goes up a little and takes out the next support at 661, i might reverse my position, until then it's a risk holding long stocks. But reward is for who takes the risk. (just on the side , i have a little fear too).
If the market want to go up, it's going to be a big fight since a lot of over head resistance lies ahead.Patience is the medicine that's needed.
As mentioned in my Dec 06 posting, the market is range bound and is showing some signs that it may be positioning itself for a little move higher.

"Merry Christmas"
"Love is the greatest of all the gifts" .

Tuesday, December 13, 2005

Russell 2000 in Consolidation

Russell 2000 has been at the same point for past 2 weeks, this is pure consolidation after a big Up move. Don't know when it will breakout of this consolidation. If it breaks out , sometimes it can comeback to this level to consolidate more, so that it can make a big move up later.
One thing i learned from all these years is Patience is the most important thing an investor(or trader) needs, if you act on your emotions and sells the stocks because you are bored and market is going no where, that's when it goes up. How many times that happened to you?Many times for me. Learning new lessons everyday.

Tuesday, December 06, 2005

Russell 2000 and Market tired

Even though Russell 2000, brokeout of its prior high, it came back to that level and is stuck there for the past days. The market is telling us that it's tired of going higher, it needs more energy and inorder to get that it needs to consolidate . I think the market will trade in a range for the next couple of weeks.
As mentioned in a chart below, Oil stopped at the trendline and is climbing up. Oil may be on its last gasp higher, before it goes into a minor bear.

Sunday, December 04, 2005

Bye Bye Nasdaq 2000, Hello 3000

When Nasdaq bottomed in 2002, it did that just above the 1000 point mark. Nasdaq reached the 2000 area around the first part of 2004 and it stayed around that area for the past 22 months(almost 2 years). Now it build a very good base around the 2000 area and now looking forward to meet the next multiple , 3000.But if you look at the chart above, the move up is going to get stopped at around 2775, a point similar to the area nasdaq just left(shown by the down blue arrows). Before it gets there the market will have to make a stop just below 2350 and build enough base to attack and move to the next resistance level at 2775.Going above 2775, is for another day,it may take years, but eventually will, we will see when it gets there. So bye bye 2000.

Friday, December 02, 2005

Russell 2000 looks strong and brokeout

(Click chart to enlarge)
Russell 2000 looks strong here, and went up on good volume(as measured by IWM, the small cap ETF). It cleared the thin redline at the top of the chart, which was its prior recent high.
It looks like the market will continue its uptrend with pullbacks here and there. But watch for trend reversal(downtrend)!, since there is no certainity in the market. it's all about collective psychology.